Machine learning for Alzheimer’s disease progression under extreme class imbalance

Siyu Huang
BackgroundTimely identification of individuals at risk for Alzheimer’s disease (AD) progression remains a major clinical challenge. Traditional cognitive assessments provide limited prognostic insight, while many machine learning (ML) models rely on costly biomarkers or poorly interpretable algorithms that limit clinical scalability. This study evaluated whether widely available baseline demographic, clinical, and cognitive measures could support short-term progression prediction using interpret