An analysis of the distribution of extreme returns in the UK from 1975 to 2000
This paper seeks to characterise the distribution of extreme returns for a UK share index over the years 1975 to 2000. In particular, the suitability of the following distributions is investigated: Gumbel, Frechet, Weibull, Generalised Extreme Value, Generalised Pareto, Log-Normal and Generalised Logistic. Daily returns for the FT All Share index were obtained from Datastream, and the maxima and minima of these daily returns over a variety of selection intervals were calculated. Plots of summary
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Market Dynamics and VolatilityEconomics and EconometricsGumbel distributionExtreme value theoryWeibull distributionMaximaGeneralized extreme value distributionLogistic distributionStatisticsMathematicsMaxima and minimaEconometricsDistribution fittingGeneralized Pareto distributionDistribution (mathematics)Index (typography)Pareto distributionLogistic regressionEconomicsProbability distributionComputer science
