Background Q. Prove that an Itô integral with respect to Brownian motion is a martingale My Attempt To prove that an Itô integral with respect to Brownian motion is a martingale (representing a "fair game" with no predictable drift), we look at the properties of the Itô integral stochastic process: where is a standard Brownian motion and is a suitably integrable, adapted process (meaning the trader cannot look into the future to pick their strategy ). For to be a martingale, it must satisfy two main conditions for any future time and present time (where ): Integrability: The Martingale Condition: the conditional expectation of the future value given all information up to the present time must equal the present value: Proof. Let's split the integral into past and future segments. We can split the integral from to into two pieces: , and : Notice that the first part ( ) is simply , and it is already fully "known" (measurable) at time . Take the conditional expectation at time : Split by linearity: Evaluate both parts: the past: since ( ) has already happened by time , its conditional expectation given current information is just itself: the future: by the fundamental property of Itô integrals over future intervals ( to ), the expected value of future Brownian increments given current information is (the definition of a fair game with no drift): Combine both of them: Because the conditional expectation of the future Itô integral equals its current value ( ), the Itô integral is a martingale. This mathematically guarantees that we cannot systematically make or lose expected profit over time using a non-anticipating trading strategy in a frictionless market. My Question If means that the expected future value equals our current value, not zero. Therefore, if our current Itô integral value is , the expected future value is ? if our current value is positive (e.g., I_s = \\\500I_s = -\$200500-200\mathbb{E}[I_t - I_s \mid \mathcal{F}_s] = 0$ ). Therefore, we don't have an automatic upward drift or downward pull, as we are expected to stay right where we currently are on average? Did I get this correct?

Prove that an Itô integral is a martingale
Jessie

