Calculating the risk of random contact with infectious individuals For citizens like me, old enough and perhaps wise enough to take a cautious view of mingling again with one’s fellow man after a period of lockdown in a time of pandemic, it’s natural to wonder about the risk of contact with infectious individuals as one re-establishes one’s daily routines. I thought this over and figured that if I knew the proportion of a population carrying infection, I could use probability theory to quantify.
