Predicting Replicability Challenge: Round 2 Results

Growth trends are producing a “strain on scientific publishing” ( Hanson et al., 2023 ). The rates of scientific output have risen from just under 4 million publications in 2000 to over 10 million in 2024 and the total size of the reviewer pool has not kept pace, leading to a shortage in evaluation capacity. The recent explosion of AI-assisted and fully AI-generated research threatens to overwhelm journals’ ability to review submissions in a timely and sustainable way, such that evaluation rathe