Samuel Charap on how a Ukraine ceasefire could accidentally set Europe up for a wider war

Rob Wiblin: Your most recent piece, “Europe’s next war: The rising risk of a NATO–Russia conflict,” argues that the risk of a direct NATO–Russia confrontation could actually be higher after a ceasefire in Ukraine — which I think to many people will seem kind of counterintuitive. It’s somewhat counterintuitive to me. So let’s start with a big-picture question: How seriously should we take the risk, the probability of a direct military confrontation between NATO and Russia? Samuel Charap: Well, I.