Proceedings of the Workshop on Ai for Evidential Reasoning Co-Located with the 38Th International Conference on Legal Knowledge and Information Systems (Jurix 2025) 1. 2025We probabilify the scenario approach to legal proof. The scenario approach searches for the scenario that strikes the best balance in explaining the available evidence, in fitting to general background beliefs, and in its degree of internal coherence. Our account provides a unified measure of the three dimensions in terms of
