macroeconomics

The national debt hasn’t been a major issue in the 2026 midterms. But perhaps it should be. As of last month, the United States is in debt to the tune of $40 trillion. That’s 12 zeros, which averages out to about $116,000 per American.  It’s enough that even economists like Jared Bernstein, the chair of […]

period 2007–2025. It aims to measure and compare the short-run and long-run effects of depreciation and appreciation of the Afghan afghani against the U.S. dollar on the Consumer Price Index (CPI). The central research question is whether depreciation and appreciation of the afghani have exerted asymmetric effects on consumer prices in Afghanistan over the short and long run. The analysis employs…

Evidence is growing that those most in need of state support bear the risk of an unsustainable spending policy. The post Brazil’s debt crisis reveals a progressive spending paradox appeared first on Atlantic Council .

A study of nearly 4 million Roman coins shows how money moved across the Republic as Rome expanded. The pattern points to roads, cities, ports, and institutions as key forces behind economic ties. Researchers Eduardo Amaral Haddad of the University of São Paulo and Inácio Fernandes Araújo used spatial models and digital archaeology databases to […]

The artificial intelligence boom has signalled growing risks in the US economy and capital markets, with a setback in the technology rally potentially triggering a sharp correction in US assets and weakening the dollar, according to a Nomura report. “The AI boom has masked a rising US risk premium,” Nomura analysts led by Rob Subbaraman said in a report on Thursday, warning that the concentration…

Climate change and the transition to net zero are reshaping the macroeconomy, with important implications for monetary policymakers’ core price-stability objectives.

The recent trade war between the U.S. and Canada has both economic and political implications for Michigan given it's the state's top trade partner.

Five costs related to the Iran war are compounding across the Gulf and its trading partners, and none will be eliminated soon. The post The Iran war is no Vietnam. But it may become an economic quagmire for the Gulf. appeared first on Atlantic Council .

Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh (Photo from federalreserve.com) Each year since 1982, the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City has sponsored an economic policy symposium in Jackson Hole, Wyoming. (The site was supposedly first chosen in the hopes that Fed Chair Paul Volcker would attend because of the opportunities for fly fishing in the local … Continue reading "Fed Chair Warsh Takes a More Haw…

Systemic diagnostics of the 21st-century macroeconomic grid reveal an active, asymptomatic cyber-biological infection. Mainstream financial telemetry incorrectly classifies the meteoric rise of decentralized digital currency as organic technological innovation and wealth generation. Iteration II, Article I of the Justika Framework formally reclassifies this phenomenon as an apex planetary immune …

Tariffs alone won’t fix global imbalances. The G20 should use economic “carrots” to de-risk from China without destabilizing it. The post The G20 needs more carrots to rebalance away from China appeared first on Atlantic Council .

The preliminary value for the CE Plant Cost Index (CEPCI) for June 2026 (most recent available) rose compared to the previous month’s value. The latest rise continues a trend of upward trajectory for the CEPCI since August 2025. All four subindices — Equipment, Construction Labor, Buildings and Engineering & Supervision — saw increases, with the […] The post Economic Indicators: September 2026 ap…

HP reported record revenue in the third quarter of fiscal 2026, but PC shipments declined as higher average selling prices weighed on unit volume. The company said the same pattern is affecting other PC brands and expects it to become more visible in the second half of the year as component costs stay elevated.

Moody's has sharply raised its forecast for South Korea's 2026 economic growth to 3.5%, saying the country's semiconductor boom and export strength will last longer than expected and that its high-end memory supply remains difficult to replace.

Image created by ChatGPT The Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) released two reports this morning (August 26): “GDP (Second Estimate) and Corporate Profits, 2nd Quarter 2026” and “Personal Income and Outlays, July 2026.” The BEA’s second estimate is that real GDP grew at annual rate of 1.5 percent in second quarter of 2026, which is … Continue reading "New BEA Releases Show Steady Inflation and Hi…

What a new round of U.S. sanctions could mean after nearly six months of war with Iran — and years of economic pressure on the country.

The Chinese National Federation of Industries (CNFI), an industrial association representing the majority of manufacturing businesses in Taiwan, has released its 2026 white paper, putting forward seven proposals aimed at building a resilient national economic security line amid the current trade and economic climate. In response, the National Development Council (NDC) said the white paper's core …

Image created by ChatGPT When did the recession that began at the end of 2007 turn into the Global Financial Crisis?  Most economists believe a key turning occurred on Monday, September 15, 2008, when the Lehman Brothers investment bank declared bankruptcy. By the time Lehman failed, the U.S. economy was already in a recession caused … Continue reading "Did the British Government Cause the Global…

Today, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent is set to announce details on new economic pressures on Iran. And, Canada has vowed to impose retaliatory tariffs against the U.S.