macroeconomics

The country has seen a new driver of exports, and it has not been affected by the Middle East conflict to the extent of many others. This article assesses China’s current economic performance and the equity market outlook for the remainder of 2026. The post China’s economy in a time of uncertainties appeared first on RBC Wealth Management - Asia .

The country has seen a new driver of exports, and it has not been affected by the Middle East conflict to the extent of many others. This article assesses China’s current economic performance and the equity market outlook for the remainder of 2026. The post China’s economy in a time of uncertainties appeared first on RBC Wealth Management .

Purpose: An oil economy is usually driven by an economy, and economic performance is explained by following the stock market performance. Although some studies have aimed at the oil prices-stock market nexus and how various developments affect the nexus, a gap still exists in studies carried out in GCC countries. This work seeks to harness how the two significant world shocks, including the COVID…

This study examines the impact of inflation volatility on GDP growth across selected developed (Japan, USA) and developing (India, Nigeria) economies over the period 2010–2024. Using annual macroeconomic data from the World Bank, inflation volatility is measured as the 3-year and 5-year rolling standard deviations of consumer price inflation, while annual inflation rates are included to control f…

Unexpected monthly drop of 0.1% in May leaves price of typical home at £298,806, says lender Halifax Business live – latest updates UK house prices fell unexpectedly in May as rising mortgage rates fuelled by the war in Iran affected affordability and homebuyer demand. The average price of a typical UK home fell by 0.1% in May to £298,806 compared with April, the third consecutive monthly drop re…

Prolonged disruption of energy supplies from the Middle East that lasts into next year would deal a severe blow to the global economy

According to chief economic adviser Kevin Hassett, living in the world’s richest superpower and witnessing food, electricity and housing become luxury items is a good thing God, I love paying high prices at the supermarket, don’t you? I walk outside with a bag of basics that cost approximately 500% more than they did a few years ago and it makes me feel so optimistic about life. What a wonderful …

Once understood, the Import Price Index, with its ability to summarize the changes in the price of imported goods, is one of the most important tools of economic analysis available.

Policy forum lays out ‘prolonged disruption’ scenario in which world’s GDP falls to 2.1% this year from 3.4% in 2025 Rural UK ‘particularly at risk’ of diesel shortages If the Middle East conflict drags on into next year it would hit global growth hard, driving some economies into recession and causing energy shortages, according to forecasts from the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and De…

OECD forecast sets out economic risks from conflict, pointing to potential shortfalls to key energy products OECD predicts spate of recessions globally if Iran conflict drags into 2027 Rural areas in the UK would be particularly at risk of diesel shortages if the conflict in Iran continues to squeeze supplies, the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development has warned. The OECD predict…

The war in Iran is disrupting international travel to tourism-dependent Southeast Asia, where the industry has yet to fully recover from the COVID‑19 pandemic.

The U.S. bond market is keeping long-term inflation expectations remarkably low, begging a massive macro question: is the smart money right to bet that an AI productivity miracle will save us from a $36 trillion national debt? Read More

_The Observers Report V3_. forthcomingOn May 28, 2026, United States spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds recorded their largest single-day net outflows since late January, with BlackRock’s IBIT posting its second-largest daily outflow since inception, as Bitcoin fell below $73,000 on the day new United States–Iran strikes tested a fragile ceasefire. Capital rotated into traditional-finance equitie…

Trump’s pursuit of policies that drive up prices, including tariffs and war, might be punished in November’s elections For such an uncannily successful politician, Donald Trump exhibits a perplexing political myopia. His most recent own-goal was endorsing Ken Paxton, a state attorney general, against four-term senator John Cornyn in the Republican primary for Senate in Texas. Trump’s endorsement …

Naphtha Shortages Having a Growing Impact in Japan Economy LifestyleA Clear Impact The Iran war is leading to increased shortages of naphtha, a petroleum-derived raw material used in a wide range of products. On May 12, major snack maker Calbee, known for its potato chips, announced that it would use black-and-white packaging for 14 of its most popular products. The naphtha shortage has affected …

India is reviewing its fiscal and industrial policy priorities as it navigates an increasingly complex global economic environment marked by geopolitical tensions, supply chain disruptions, trade realignments and technological transformation, according to a recent analysis by S&P Global. The report Read More ... The post India reassesses fiscal and industrial policies amid global uncertainties fi…

It would be hard not to notice that we are living in a world of increasing inequality. According to data collected by the Federal Reserve, the share of the nation’s wealth owned by the top one percent of U.S. wealth holders increased almost 50 percent, from 22.8 percent in 1989 to 31.9 percent at the end of 2025.  Meanwhile, the gap between high and low earners has also been expanding.  One …

Inflation can be tolerated above 2% target for now ‘given context of softness in real economy’, governor says Business live – latest updates The Bank of England is in no rush to raise interest rates while the outcome of the Iran war remains uncertain and the UK’s growth rate stays weak, the governor, Andrew Bailey, has said. In a signal that borrowing costs will remain at 3.75% at least during th…

Where Are the Economies of Scale in Homebuilding? Over the last few months we’ve examined the extent of the construction industry’s productivity problem. We’ve looked at a variety of construction productivity metrics, both for the US and for countries around the world, and found that construction productivity almost always rises much less in construction than it does in industries like manufactur…

Image created by ChatGPT The Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) released two reports this morning (May 28): “GDP (Second Estimate) and Corporate Profits, 1st Quarter 2026” and “Personal Income and Outlays, April 2026.” The BEA revised downward its estimate of real GDP growth in the first quarter of 2026 from an annual rate of 2.0 … Continue reading "New BEA Releases Show Slower Growth and High Inf…