Journal of Financial Economics
Pandemic fraud is geographically concentrated and stimulated local purchases, with effects on prices. Recipients of fraudulent Paycheck Protection Program (PPP) funds significantly increased their home purchasing rate compared to recipients of non-fraudulent PPP funds, and house prices in high-fraud ZIP codes increased 5.8 percentage points more than in low-fraud ZIP codes within the same county.…
This paper examines the causal role of face-to-face (F2F) interactions in generating local informational advantages for mutual fund managers. Using COVID-19 lockdowns as an exogenous shock, I show that fund managers’ performance on local stocks declined relative to distant stocks when in-person meetings were curtailed, driven by impaired investment timing rather than changes in firm fundamentals.…
In a “lemons” market, a shock to gains from trade precedes the buyers’ offer. Lower gains exacerbate adverse selection. Trading with intermediaries before observing the shock commits sellers not to keep high-quality assets in such states, improving surplus despite impeding efficient use of information. To add value, intermediaries need not possess superior skills or information. If sellers choose…
We provide novel evidence suggestive of insider trading through concealed relationships identified using information from over 100,000 Facebook profiles and their 35 million friends. Focusing on connections between fund managers and firm officers, we demonstrate that hidden ties are linked to substantial abnormal returns averaging 135 basis points per month (exceeding 16% alpha annually, t -stat …
Value-weighted indexes must rebalance in response to stock market composition changes, e.g., issuance, buybacks, and IPOs. In doing so, existing index funds implicitly engage in market timing. Index funds’ long-short rebalancing portfolios have an annualized return of 4.61% and load negatively on value and profitability factors. We estimate these trades impose a 46–69 bps annual index-level perfo…
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