SSAGE Open1/1/2026

Exploring the Determinants of Civil War in Ethiopia: A Synthetic Approach

This study provides a comprehensive analysis of the factors determining the onset of civil war in Ethiopia from 1974 to 2023, utilizing logistic regression models that incorporate variables from both the greed and grievance approaches. Drawing on data from the international armed conflict dataset, which documented over 38 civil war events spanning 5 decades, this study addresses the key question of what explanatory factors lead to civil war in Ethiopia. This research applies and tests the greed