SSAGE Open1/1/2026

Between Punishment and Reintegration: Empirical Reflections on Parole Practices in China

This study provides an empirical analysis of parole decision-making in China, examining 1,098 offenders housed in the prisons of Z Province. Drawing on questionnaire data and archival records, it models parole decisions using a binary logistic regression framework and tests 30 potential influencing factors across 3 theoretical dimensions: retributive justice, preventivism and community controllability, in order to identify the key determinants of parole approval in China. The findings reveal a c