Over the past year, U.S. trade policy with China has undergone enormous changes, but with surprisingly little effect on overall trade balances. In fact, the U.S.’s twelve-month trade deficit, while highly volatile due to import front-running early in the year, ended 2025 at 1.2 trillion,almostunchangedfrom2024.Atthesametime,Chinastradesurpluswiththeworldactuallyincreasedfrom1.2 trillion, almost unchanged from 2024. At the same time, China’s trade surplus with the world actually increased from 1 trillion to $1.2 trillion. However, when looking at changes between individual countries, one sees l