Dinamika Pengaruh Inflasi, Harga Minyak Dunia, dan Risiko Geopolitik terhadap Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Indonesia: Pendekatan Error Correction Model

This study aims to analyze the influence of domestic and global factors on Indonesia’s economic growth, with variables including inflation, world oil prices, and geopolitical risk. The research employs a quantitative approach using a regression model combined with the Engle–Granger Error Correction Model (ECM) to capture both short-run and long-run dynamics among variables. The data used are time series data from 1986 to 2024, sourced from the World Bank and the Geopolitical Risk Index. The resu