A Multi-Scenario Coupled Simulation of Diet–Land Systems: Diet–Land Supply–Demand Matching and Responses from the Historical-to-Future

Dietary transition is reshaping cropland demand and intensifying the challenge of matching food demand with land supply in rapidly urbanizing regions. This study examines how different dietary structure scenarios generate differentiated cropland demand, how these demands match with land supply under alternative development pathways, and how the land system responds when diet-driven demand is incorporated into land-use simulation. Using Jiangsu Province, China, as a case study, we developed a cou